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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

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Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.

(0:00) Bestie intros: Happy 50th Chamath!

(1:17) OpenAI releases GPT-6 Astra: Have they reached AGI?

(19:01) All-In Summit: Scholarships available!

(19:56) Dwarkesh's Hugging Face hack article sparks a Bernie Sanders AI ban

(37:03) EAs, AI-brained influencers, and the conflicts of interest

(59:26) Mamdani bans AI in NYC schools K-8 

(1:18:58) US-Venezuela oil deal

 

The All-In Summit is only 1 week away! You won't want to miss it: https://theallinsummit.com

 

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

 

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

 

Referenced in the show:

https://openai.com/index/gpt-6-astra

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/09/03/openai-greg-brockman-says-its-new-model-astra-is-agi

https://www.axios.com/2026/09/03/axios-interview-sam-altmans-sobering-siren

https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026

https://polymarket.com/event/us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-before-2027

https://x.com/chamath/status/2095511879951192279

https://x.com/Jason/status/2095521697411514626

https://scale.stanford.edu/research-in-action/understanding-evidence-base-ai-k12-education

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/09/02/trumps-seen-the-data-center-polling-and-he-still-supports-them-01061244

https://abc7ny.com/post/new-york-city-public-schools-banning-ai-use-middle-school-year/19778716

 

(0:00) Bestie intros: Recapping recent interviews and the state of American science

(3:31) China's Robot Olympics, Optimus update, Grok Bot

(9:05) Nvidia and Salesforce rip after big earnings: AI Capex Bubble and SaaSpocalypse narratives get reversed

(33:32) Bessent gets called out by Druckenmiller for bond market interference

(1:01:33) AI writing controversy: Druck used AI to write his WSJ Op-ed

(1:15:00) CIA Chief visits Moscow, Meta's settlement and new teen rules

(1:22:52) Science Corner: Moderna's mRNA cancer vaccine

Come hang with the Besties at the All-In Summit | September 13-15:

http://theallinsummit.com

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/27/nvidia-nvda-q2-earnings.html

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/article/how-nvidia-silenced-the-bears-105017893.html

https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2027

https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-december-2026

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/18/treasury-yields-.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/24/bessent-1-trillion-treasury-general-account-bond-buybacks.html

https://seekingalpha.com/news/4636322-wall-street-sees-bessent-putting-fear-of-god-into-bond-vigilantes

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/let-the-bond-market-speak-81529d74

https://www.wsj.com/world/cia-director-john-ratcliffe-makes-surprise-trip-to-moscow-c1c68fa6

https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by

(0:00) Eric Weinstein joins the show!

(03:09) Has American science stalled? Cowboy science, Fauci, and the scientific precariat

(21:31) Weinstein's fix: Blow a hole in the Civil Rights Act, kill peer review, fund people not ideas

(41:36) Ed Witten drove physics off a cliff, and is Renaissance Technologies a secret Los Alamos?

(52:49) Boom, Vroom, Zoom: Did stagnant physics save the human species?

(01:07:11) UAPs, multi-temporal adversaries, and Einstein's prison

(01:16:12) China poaches our best scientists, AI reads the trash can corpus

 

Thanks to our partners for making this possible! 

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 Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

 Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

 

(0:00) Michael Kratsios joins the show!

(01:56) Is this administration anti-science? The Nature poll, DEI grants, and $8B down the drain 

(8:16) Climate science cuts: RCP 8.5 gets pulled and the "climate emergency" narrative collapses

(13:45) $47B at NIH, Eroom's Law, and golden tickets: has American science stagnated? 

(22:24) Big bold bets: Genesis Mission, quantum by 2028, fusion by 2035, boots on the moon in '28 

(34:04) The great race with China: $33B to $670B, and 7 out of 10 STEM PhDs aren't American 

(44:09) Fauci did more damage to science than anyone in modern history, and NIH's median researcher is 71



Follow the besties: 

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

 

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect



#allin #tech #news

 

(00:00) Besties are back!

(00:13) Dario's two-part essay: regulatory capture, doomerism, and the data center backlash

(10:25) FINRA for AI vs. MPAA for AI: SROs, thinking tokens, and the "DMV for AI"

(30:12) Is an open source ban coming? Harnesses, FDI, jobs, and recursive self-improvement

(56:33) a16z under DOJ investigation over "interlocking directorates"

(1:01:15) Midterms: broken polls, the socialism surge, and CATO's DSA price tag

 

Come hang with the Besties at the All-In Summit | September 13-15:

http://theallinsummit.com #AllInSummit

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

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Music Credit:

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https://x.com/yung_spielburgIntro

 

Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

 

#allin #tech #news

(0:00) The most controversial company in privacy right now, Flock CEO joins the show!

(7:23) License plate data retention: 7 days solves 90% of crimes

(13:00) Camera vandalism, felony charges, and privacy concerns

(18:15) Dirty cops exposed: Flock's audit tool got 9 Georgia officers fired

(28:25) AI, drones, facial recognition, and avoiding predictive policing

(39:43) Safety is a privilege and who actually needs Flock

(45:36) Flock's PR crisis: internal morale, churn, and 20 cities turning the cameras back on

 

Thanks to our partners for making this possible!

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Follow Garrett:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl 

https://x.com/yung_spielburg 

 

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect 

 

#allin #tech #news

 

(0:00) Gavin Baker joins the show!

(2:36) Anthropic IPO report: $2T valuation, $100B+ run rate, October listing

(27:32) Zuck's AI manifesto: What it means for Meta and frontier AI

(56:41) All-In Summit Speaker Announcements!

(58:13) Nvidia's $500B financing plan, how the AI market could fall apart

(1:14:29) NJ and Mamdani take on Amazon over subcontracted drivers

(1:27:32) Grok 4.6 launch: SpaceX's high-ceiling, high-floor AI strategy

(1:35:21) Workday in talks to be acquired by Silver Lake for ~$43B

Apply for Summit 2026:

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Follow Gavin:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.ft.com/content/840ac156-af1c-4a82-b260-ae791072fcfa

https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027

https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-13/anthropic-said-in-talks-to-buy-ai-startup-decart-for-6-billion

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2052069691372478511

https://www.meta.com/thefutureisforeveryone

https://x.com/Home_of_Fight/status/2086504599444140344

https://x.com/JensenHuang/status/2086934705207959965

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/04/nj-amazon-antitrust-lawsuit-delivery-contractors.html

https://www.google.com/finance/beta/quote/WDAY:NASDAQ

https://www.amazon.com/Vision-Anointed-Self-Congratulation-Social-Policy/dp/046508995X

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/10/nyregion/mamdani-amazon-delivery-workers-nyc.html

(0:00) Jason and Friedberg welcome Rahm Emanuel

(1:16) Lessons from working with Clinton and Obama

(7:45) China: How to approach conflict, new economic bloc, isolation, and Taiwan

(28:49) Europe: Reasons for the decay of the West

(38:37) Immigration: US solutions, who to emulate, subsidizing college for Americans

(46:55) National debt, government interference in markets, fixing education

(1:09:24) DSA vs Democrats

Follow Rahm:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros! Brad Gerstner fills in for Chamath

(2:16) Major shakeups at Google: AI brain drain or better strategy?

(20:39) SpaceX's big quarter: Terafab, AI Capex, $1T revenue projection?

(45:44) All-In Summit Speaker Announcements!

(48:01) Airtable sells for a 90% discount: SaaSpocalypse?

(1:05:56) Chinese AI labs are buying US training data to catch up

Apply for Summit 2026:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/the_ai_investor/status/2084687703707361429

https://x.com/Tesla/status/2085365278276284803

(0:00) Saronic founders join the show!

(4:56) The Navy's first autonomous rescue in the Strait of Hormuz, and how China out builds America 230-to-1

(13:04) $3B destroyers vs. Marauder

(21:25) Killing cost-plus, the new primes, and why only 1% of the budget goes to autonomy

(25:55) Could 10,000 Corsairs actually lock down a 20-mile strait?

(31:25) China's arming robot dogs: will our AI weapons hurt us in Taiwan?

(36:33) Exclusive announcement: Port Alpha lands in Brownsville: 4000 acres, 10,000 jobs

Thanks to our partners for making this possible!

Creative Planning. As wealth grows, complexity compounds. Between investments, tax strategy and estate planning, coordinating it all can feel like a full-time job. Creative Planning can help with the heavy lifting. https://ad.doubleclick.net/ddm/trackclk/N2598215.3565131ALLIN/B36182939.452362736;dc_trk_aid=646454825;dc_trk_cid=260464105;dc_lat=;dc_rdid=;tag_for_child_directed_treatment=;tfua=;ltd=;dc_tdv=1

Starting a business? Northwest Registered Agent gives you everything you need to build a complete Business Identity including free tools and built-in privacy. Get more at https://www.northwestregisteredagent.com/ALLINFREE

Follow the besties:

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https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros

(1:19) Chip stocks crash, Leopold Aschenbrenner's $20B fund gets margin called

(20:20) China's advantage and green shoots for the US economy

(34:12) Frontier Labs say "SLOW DOWN AI"

(1:01:15) Why are frontier labs "burning books"?

(1:14:45) Socialism Corner: Mamdani's grocery stores and the "Socialist Spectacle"

(1:24:44) Science Corner: Understanding and mapping the brain

Apply for All-In Summit 2026:

https://allin.com/events

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/leopold-aschenbrenners-hedge-fund-is-facing-steep-ai-losses.html

https://www.wsj.com/finance/citadel-buys-situational-awarenesss-stock-portfolio-after-big-losses-in-ai-5117159b

https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-september-762

https://situational-awareness.ai

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US30Y

https://x.com/nicolasfulghum/status/2082083884578050299

https://theprint.in/science/breakthrough-china-artificial-sun-project-6-5-tesla-magnet/2999321

https://www.pacingthefrontier.com/

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/29/openai-cfo-sarah-friar-tells-employees-arr-in-july-topped-all-of-q2.html

https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/why-compute-might-get-10x-more-expensive

vhttps://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-starts-production-home-grown-immersion-duv-chipmaking-tools-source-2026-07-28

https://www.google.com/finance/beta/quote/ASML:NASDAQ

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/27/cxmt-china-market-debut-chipmaker-ipo.html

https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027

https://polymarket.com/event/us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-before-2027/us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-before-2027

https://x.com/v_nefodov/…

(0:00) Intro: Humanoids, Robots, & AI+

(0:57) ANYbotics' Dr. Péter Fankhauser: Why ANYbotics Bet the Company on Four-Legged Robot Dogs, Not Humanoids

(13:18) Dr. Péter Fankhauser: China's Armed Robot Dogs Are "Stupid and Risky" — Inside the Terminator Debate

(15:01) NEO's Bernt Børnich: Neo Ships in 2026 and Becomes an Open Robot Platform

(22:18) Bernt Børnich: Robots Building Robots in Just 3 Years — "Hard Takeoff"

(33:45) Boston Dynamics' Amanda McMaster: Spot Is Now the Most Deployed Robot on Earth — Atlas is the Most Capable

(42:36) Amanda McMaster: Chinese Robotics Security Risks

(47:14) Agility Robotics' Jonathan Hurst: Why "This Time Is Different" for Humanoids After 100 Years of False Starts

(58:45) Jonathan Hurst: When Do Robots Outnumber Humans on the Factory Floor?

Thanks to our partners for making this possible!

AppLovin Ads is AppLovin's AI advertising platform reaching over a billion daily active users across mobile games. Full-screen video ads with a 35-second median watch time. Advertisers are profitably spending hundreds of thousands of dollars a day. AppLovin Ads is now open to all advertisers. Sign up at https://applovin.com/ALLIN 

If your work depends on conversations — meetings, deal flow, interviews, customer calls — Plaud helps you capture and organize everything with highly accurate AI-generated notes that are not just simple summaries, but also highlight pain points, key decisions, next steps, and customizable summary templates. 

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Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

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Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(0:18) The fight to save open source AI: Kimi K3 panic, Anthropic/OpenAI regulatory capture

(27:38) Anthropic/OpenAI historic growth rates, China's long game

(48:29) Anthropic's $1.5B piracy settlement and the great IP theft hypocrisy

(1:07:12) Google and Tesla stocks tank on surging AI capex

(1:17:19) Socialism Corner: "Evictions = Violence" and the threat to private property rights

Apply for All-In Summit 2026:

https://allin.com/events

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

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Follow on TikTok:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/kimi-k3?intelligence=artificial-analysis-intelligence-index#intelligence-comparisons

https://www.axios.com/2026/07/20/ai-us-china-open-source-kimi

https://www.wired.com/story/the-white-house-is-trying-to-figure-out-what-to-do-about-chinese-ai

https://x.com/mkratsios47/status/2079933645888880708

https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-bans-an-open-source-ai-model-in-2026-20260703221501747

https://fortune.com/2025/01/29/deepseek-openais-what-is-distillation-david-sacks

https://stratechery.com/2026/whos-afraid-of-chinese-models

https://x.com/CommerceGov/status/2080341953086886387

https://x.com/tickerplus/status/2080123562560504240

https://blog.tickertrends.io/p/anthropic-vs-openai-arr-tracking

https://x.com/sama/status/2077817060068057493

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-judge-approves-anthropics-15-billion-settlement-copyright-lawsuit-2026-07-20

https://www.anthropic.com/news/detecting-and-preventing-distillation-attacks

https://techstartups.com/2026/07/22/nearly-200-silicon-valley-startups-urge-trump-not-to-ban-chinese-ai-models-warn-it-could-kill-innovation

<…

(0:00) Bubble talk: Comparing today's AI market to the dot-com bubble

(7:50) AI's real-world limits: why enterprise AI is harder than expected

(16:38) Transitioning to an AI-First Workspace

(21:26) Health & AI: self-directed healthcare and biometric data

(24:30) Politics, wealth tax, and AI as a truth-seeking force

(35:12) Knicks & Sports Talk

Thanks to our partners for making this possible!

AppLovin Ads — AppLovin's AI advertising platform reaches over a billion daily active users across mobile games. Full-screen video ads with a 35-second median watch time. Advertisers are profitably spending hundreds of thousands of dollars a day and advertiser access is still in closed beta. The window is open at https://applovin.com/ALLIN

Starting a business? Northwest Registered Agent gives you everything you need to build a complete Business Identity including free tools and built-in privacy. Get more at https://www.northwestregisteredagent.com/ALLINFREE

Follow Mark:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:32) New AI regulatory proposal: DeepMind's Demis Hassabis proposes FINRA-type body

(20:01) Stripe, Block, and Advent offer $53B to acquire PayPal

(37:51) Apple sues OpenAI, alleging stolen trade secrets

(42:49) Grok Build data leak, AI data privacy, Tokenmaxxing update, Mira Murati's new model

(59:53) NY bans datacenters, becoming first state to enact a moratorium

(1:22:57) Science Corner: New data on reversing aging!

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/chamath/status/2077502408528212144

https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2076957440109625718

https://x.com/satyanadella/status/2076323181154230284

https://x.com/Jason/status/2076231055443440105

https://x.com/SquawkCNBC/status/2077741908391031246

https://thinkingmachines.ai/news/introducing-inkling

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/15/inside-anthropics-state-by-state-plan-to-ratchet-up-ai-rules-00998415

https://x.com/politico/status/2077315780144996633

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1978145266269077891

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/stripe-advent-offer-buy-paypal-more-than-53-billion-sources-say-2026-07-15

https://www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly/block-contributing-to-equity-for-paypal-takeover-bid-cnbc-says-thefly-news

https://9to5mac.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2026/07/Apple-Inc.-v.-Liu-et-al.pdf

https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/apple-lawsuit-threatens-openais-hardware-215438163.html

https://x.com/markgurman/status/2076306380583997665

(0:00) Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger joins Jason!

(1:41) What Went Wrong at Intel

(15:19) Why a Taiwan Blockade Would Cripple the US Economy

(25:00) Lovable's Anton Osika: One Million New Apps a Week

(33:38) How Lovable is Bringing Down Builder Costs

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And a special thank you to Raise Summit for hosting us in Paris

(0:00) ElevenLabs' $600M ARR Ramp, 600 Employees & Life Without PMs

(15:34) Celebrity Voice Deals, Deepfake Impersonation & Racing OpenAI and Anthropic

(31:42) Legora's Hypergrowth, Disrupting Law Firms & the Billable Hour

(42:31) LexisNexis Decline, Legal Data Moats & Legora's Narrow AI Models

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

And a special thank you to Raise Summit for hosting us in Paris

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg!

(2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence

(27:39) The open source decision, Meta's new model, Zuck's price war, AI duopoly

(54:29) CCP considering putting export controls on Chinese models, is open source ending in China?

(1:03:09) Trump Accounts launch, getting young Americans bought back into capitalism

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027

https://x.com/thejessezhang/status/2074154325933424861

https://x.com/praveenTweets/status/2074605343439810922

https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074802778074124434

https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074814752174522857

https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2070670644577280109

https://x.com/andyfang/status/2074252174226493584

https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074630732019036574

https://x.com/finkd/status/2075218444056707458

https://x.com/alighodsi/status/2074996561306955958

https://blog.nicolasmeridjen.com/en/blog/2026-04-03-alibaba-qwen-closed-source-end-of-open-weight

https://www.chinatalk.media/p/chinas-ai-companies-are-going-closed

https://www.reuters.com/world/beijing-is-looking-curbing-overseas-access-chinas-top-ai-models-sources-say-2026-07-07

https://x.com/KurtSupeCPA/thread/2074817292550984010

(0:00) The AI Buildout: Datacenters Bigger Than Cities (Andrew Feldman)

(1:50) Reasoning, Inference, and Breaking Moore's Law

(16:28) Open Source, AI Sovereignty, and the Road to AGI

(40:54) The Innovation Behind Generative Video (Robin Rombach)

(47:31) Martin Scorsese, Robots, and the Future of Hollywood IP

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Bestie intros: Happy Fourth of July!

(0:21) Palantir-Nvidia open source deal, Alex Karp's CNBC "Crashout"

(33:52) Update on the AI jobs debate

(50:24) Anthropic's Fable 5 available after export restrictions lifted

(59:06) SCOTUS upholds birthright citizenship, striking Trump's EO

(1:21:30) Newsom's "balanced budget" and how California's dire fiscal situation could break apart the Union

Apply for Summit 2026:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/palantir-secure-ai-us-agencies-nemotron-open-models

https://x.com/PalantirTech/status/2072326189079757277

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-blindsides-business-partners?rc=f8fu8f

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FIG:NYSE

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2072673187666813226

https://x.com/chamath/status/2072665199786561713

https://x.com/quxiaoyin/status/2072428278976074115

https://x.com/chamath/status/2072390507628540213

https://www.justice.gov/usao-cdca/pr/chinese-national-pleads-guilty-running-birth-tourism-scheme-helped-aliens-give-birth-us

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/democratic-socialist-melat-kiros-defeats-longtime-house-incumbent-in-colorado-primary

https://x.com/GavinNewsom/status/2070496029280276571

https://www.ocregister.com/2026/02/27/these-charts-show-how-californias-budget-has-skyrocketed

https://x.com/JeanneIves/status/2072165726526308719

https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028

(0:00) Nate Silver joins the pod!

(10:02) California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India

(25:18) Democrats' three-way civil war: The left, the abundance libs, and Newsom's "resistance lib" base

(34:48) The winning 2028 playbook: Anti-oligarch messaging, why young men want control, and immigrants fleeing the Dems

(45:48) How algorithmic social media entrenches polarization: Elon's X, filter bubbles, and the death of the chronological feed

(50:01) 2026 midterm predictions: 85-90% Dem House takeover, Senate toss-up, and the Iran/gas price wildcard

(55:20) Newsom is collapsing in polls: Nate's 2028 Dem bet is AOC

 

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Intro Music Credit:

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https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Gavin Baker and Travis Kalanick join the show!

(1:05) Mamdani-endorsed socialists sweep congressional primaries in NYC

(22:51) Future of the Democratic Party, the Israel issue, social media bans

(45:12) China's open-source AI catch up, distillation, OpenAI's new chip

(1:01:46) Micron smashes earnings, AI's memory crunch hitting Apple and consumer hardware

(1:10:17) The math behind distributed compute and datacenters in space

(1:27:22) IPO update: Anthropic at $3T, SpaceX float, Cerebras drops after breaking deal price

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://abcnews.com/Politics/clean-sweep-3-candidates-endorsed-mamdani-win-primaries/story?id=134152579

https://polymarket.com/event/mamdani-team-sweeps-primaries-20260618232357710

https://x.com/thestustustudio/status/2067356255916536120

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/espaillat-ny-house-primary-loss-district-13-avila-chevalier-rcna351127

https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/2069645066252034288

https://x.com/america/status/2069622732279402804

https://x.com/realmaalouf/status/2069433391162798337

https://x.com/JoshBlockDC/status/2070108811851882691

https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/2069776474429624684

https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/2068829255786803368

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/04/07/negative-views-of-israel-netanyahu-continue-to-rise-among-americans-especially-young-people

https://x.com/PirateWires/status/2069146641266094417

https://www.wsj.com/economy/the-data-center-boom-is-sparking-a-third-wave-of-inflati…

(0:00) David Friedberg intros GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen!

(1:56) Building and selling Chewy for $3.35B, how to compete with Amazon in e-commerce

(11:58) Post-Chewy life, activist investing, the road to GameStop CEO, expanding into collectibles

(26:39) Why he wants to buy eBay for $56B: Massive potential, poor execution (slow growth, rising expenses, seller relationship failure)

(43:58) Ryan's three-part vision for eBay: Cut costs, expand live commerce, create digital in-game collectible marketplace

(49:33) Why eBay has rejected the offer, media bias against GameStop

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Nasdaq - Positioned at the nexus of technology and the capital markets, Nasdaq provides premier platforms and services for global capital markets and beyond with unmatched technology, insights and markets expertise. https://www.nasdaq.com

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

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(0:00) Bestie intros!

(2:41) The New Oligarchs, America's incoming politburo, and learned helplessness

(14:18) SpaceX's record breaking IPO, $60B Cursor acquisition, and trillionaire reactions

(33:34) Behind the scenes of Anthropic's Fable ban

(1:01:18) Claude psychoanalyzes its creator, Dario Amodei

(1:14:31) Iran War MOU and the market impact

Apply for Summit 2026:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/illinois-set-begin-taxing-bitcoin-172237413.html

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/spacex-ipo-stock-market-06-12-2026

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/16/spacex-spcx-cursor-acquisition-ipo.html

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgrk21wnvy9o

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/fed-meeting-warsh-interest-rate-06-17-2026/card/musk-swaps-300-million-tesla-options-for-shares-he-can-vote-qPrqq5tcKEzb2vkcqiXg

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/spacex-spcx-stock-ipo-welder-employee-millionaire

https://www.semafor.com/article/06/13/2026/white-house-move-to-limit-anthropic-linked-to-concerns-about-chinese-access-to-mythos

https://www.wired.com/story/sk-telecom-anthropic-mythos-export-controls

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/06/15/how-anthropic-lost-white-houses-trust-then-its-flagship-product

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2065853007619588171

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/amazon-ceos-talks-with-u-s-officials-triggered-crackdown-on-anthropic-models-dcc90578

https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access

https://stratechery.com/2026/anthropics-safety-superpower

(0:00) Besties are back!

(0:19) Anthropic gets massive backlash over secret Fable nerfing and privacy concerns

(29:16) The AI regulatory capture trap, pragmatic safety solutions

(37:59) Nationalizing AI: Trump/Sanders, justifications, and AI's "Capitalist Cucks"

(59:22) Liquidity recap: Best moments and takeaways

(1:05:39) Inflation heats up: CPI and PPI see 3+ year highs

(1:12:27) California's loose election laws creating integrity doubts

Apply for Summit 2026:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-fable-5-mythos-5

https://x.com/Scobleizer/status/2064641097310335294

https://x.com/GergelyOrosz/status/2064618497150210391

https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/2064433331970720187

https://x.com/Yuchenj_UW/status/2064524668208545955

https://stratechery.com

https://x.com/peter_szilagyi/status/2064620043896291671

https://darioamodei.com/post/policy-on-the-ai-exponential

https://screendna.org

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2065120386660880765

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/01/opinion/artificial-intelligence-bernie-sanders.html

https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027

https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026

https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-in-2026

https://x.com/robbystarbuck/status/2063602942637158423

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/california-man-pleads-guilty-orchestrating-270m-medication-reimbursement-fraud-scheme

https://www.dol.gov/newsroom/releases/osec/osec20260218

(0:00) Chamath explains the Best Ideas format

(2:31) Suvretta Capital Management's Aaron Cowen pitches MGM Resorts

(13:07) Bornite Capital's Dan Dreyfus pitches Talen Energy

(27:19) EcoR1 Capital's Oleg Nodelman pitches Aktis Oncology

(40:20) Multicoin Capital's Kyle Samani pitches GEODNET

(54:50) The Besties recap the pitches and announce winners

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Intro Music Credit:

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https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) PA Senators Fetterman and McCormick join the Besties

(0:33) Bipartisanship in 2026, rejecting extremism

(6:37) All-time unpopularity in the Senate, the filibuster question, tribalism

(13:33) Fixing wealth concentration in the US

(19:51) Graham Platner, why extremism wins primaries, and what it means for the future

(28:12) How AI and energy are playing a part in PA's blue collar boom, dark money funding misinformation

(41:05) Insane level of money in politics, fixing the broken system

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NYSE - Thank you to our partner, the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE.

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Intro Music Credit:

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(0:00) Dan Dreyfus Presents: The Future of Critical Minerals

(0:33) America's "Capital Light Era" is over, rapid supply/demand shocks

(5:40) Impact of China cutting off the US from critical minerals

(8:18) Copper's Rise: The next 18 years need as much as the last 10,000

(12:00) Dollar Debasement: $140T in debt and why hard assets win

(13:50) The Grid is Dying: Blackouts, bottlenecks, and the craft labor crisis

(19:10) How to invest in the commodity supercycle

Follow Dan:

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Thanks to our partners for making this possible!

EY - Liquidity, growth, and what's next for organizations were front and center at the Summit. EY helps turn liquidity challenges into sustainable value.

https://www.ey.com/en_us/services/strategy-transactions/liquidity-working-capital-advisory?WT.mc_id=3501316&AA.tsrc=sponsorship

NYSE - Thank you to our partner, the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE.

https://www.nyse.com

Plaud - Never miss a moment. Plaud, our official wearable AI note-taking partner at All-In Liquidity Summit, captured every insight.

https://www.plaud.ai

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Bill Maris joins the Besties!

(0:33) Four critical lessons from a career in technology

(5:58) Building Google Ventures with data and machine learning

(9:51) Why small VC funds beat big ones on average

(14:36) OpenAI's valuation problem and the AI price war

(19:09) AI's "Atari Stage": what comes next?

(25:23) VC's broken incentives and the future of deep tech

Thanks to our partners for making this possible!

EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts to consumption-based models, EY connects spend to enterprise value.

https://www.ey.com/en_us/insights/ai/agentic-ai-token-costs?WT.mc_id=3501318&AA.tsrc=sponsorship

NYSE - Thank you to our partner, the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE.

https://www.nyse.com

Plaud - Never miss a moment. Plaud, our official wearable AI note-taking partner at All-In Liquidity Summit, captured every insight.

https://www.plaud.ai

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://x.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora joins the Besties!

(0:47) Claude Mythos found years of vulnerabilities in Palo Alto's code in weeks

(5:15) Are cyber defenders losing the race against AI attackers?

(6:50) Analytical SaaS is dead, so what survives the AI wave?

(14:06) If models become a utility, where will the money be made?

(20:35) Armchair CEO: Nikesh rates Waymo, Google, and OpenAI

(28:22) Palo Alto's M&A playbook and the path to $1 trillion

Thanks to our partners for making this possible!

EY - AI ambition isn't enough. EY.ai Value Blueprints move organizations beyond pilots embedding measurable business value by design.

https://www.ey.com/en_us/services/ai/value-blueprints?WT.mc_id=3501320&AA.tsrc=sponsorship

NYSE - Thank you to our partner, the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE.

https://www.nyse.com

Plaud - Never miss a moment. Plaud, our official wearable AI note-taking partner at All-In Liquidity Summit, captured every insight.

https://www.plaud.ai

Follow Nikesh:

https://x.com/nikesharora

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

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